0x71c80ead2883f232c0d743be6698af672157ff8d
0x71c80ead2883f232c0d743be6698af672157ff8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$25.18
Realised
$-3.21
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.00
$91.00
- YES
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
160 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-37.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
142 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
21 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
19 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- OVER
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
6 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$5.35May 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.68Apr 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.06Apr 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.64Apr 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.38Apr 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$7.44Apr 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$7.36Apr 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.22Apr 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$1.60Apr 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$5.11Apr 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$0.05Apr 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$0.30Apr 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$1.42Apr 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$0.35Apr 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$8.41Apr 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$2.30Apr 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$0.16Apr 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.57Apr 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$9.12Apr 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$8.74Apr 16, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.