Good-Authenticity
0x71d26771eb6266426ff558f3f87cf2077b454be6
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.7K
Realised
$663.49
Win rate
3%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
5042 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-599.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
2711 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
2700 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
2174 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-575.40
- THOMAS FAUREL
Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
1805 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-487.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
1443 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
1400 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-135.96
- MARTA KOSTYUK
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
1329 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
1255 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.00Jul 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$13.16Jul 17, 00:46 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.08Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.27Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$21.23Jul 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$52.20Jul 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$26.49Jul 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$105.45Jul 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$104.48Jul 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$104.69Jul 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$105.74Jul 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$105.39Jul 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano$204.20Jul 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas$20.99Jul 13, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$190.67Jul 12, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$103.33Jul 12, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$26.68Jul 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$199.99Jul 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$612.00Jul 12, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
61 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $238.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.