Knotty-Mud
0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c
Quality score
90/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.8K
Total PnL
$173.03
Realised
$-2.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
20170 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$20.1K
$252.14
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
994 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$950.44
$10.44
- NO
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
511 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$504.25
$24.25
- NO
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
185 shares @ 55.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.95
$22.20
- NO
Will Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
120 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.60
$-5.40
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
149 shares @ 50.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.05
$-27.95
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
90 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
355 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.53
$-98.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$53.6423h ago
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union have between 35M and 37M viewers?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$75.0519d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$19.8K22d ago
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$109.5626d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$99.9827d ago
- TRADESELLBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$99.2131d ago
- TRADESELLBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$6.2331d ago
- TRADEBUYBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$203.5032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$80.0038d ago
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$19.7K38d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 66d ago
- Last active
- 23h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.