Probable-Alloy
0x71e068726ce0d96bbd9e360963724906060dffe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$3.59
Total PnL
$-472.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- 76ERS
76ers vs. Wizards
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.22
$0.22
- THUNDER
Lakers vs. Thunder
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.32
$0.17
- YES
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$0.03
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Heat
111 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.01
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Nuggets
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
- WARRIORS
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Magic
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Pelicans
72 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Rockets
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.15May 5, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Wizards$2.12Apr 1, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$2.20Apr 1, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Timberwolves$2.50Apr 1, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Wizards$2.00Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Wizards$2.01Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Timberwolves$1.50Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nuggets$10.03Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Heat$28.95Mar 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.01Mar 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Wizards$10.05Mar 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics$2.00Mar 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Heat$11.00Mar 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$30.00Mar 14, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Thunder$39.49Mar 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers$10.01Mar 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Thunder$29.58Mar 13, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Kings$1.70Mar 12, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Clippers$3.75Mar 12, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Clippers$9.49Mar 12, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".