0x71f68c79f44ddc31d07b92b7d2d38c331a1aea40
0x71f68c79f44ddc31d07b92b7d2d38c331a1aea40
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$675.44
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-103.86
Win rate
40%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
499 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$424.15
$49.90
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
332 shares @ 12.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$166.00
$126.16
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
102 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$51.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
19 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$19.00
$6.48
- YES
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?
5 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.53
- NO
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.15
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.69
$0.52
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.34
$1.14
- YES
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
8 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.27
$-1.25
- US CATANZARO 1929
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)
1004 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-110.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$483.20Apr 27, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$432.51Apr 23, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$73.25Apr 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$102.72Apr 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$5.28Apr 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$269.40Apr 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$273.89Apr 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$374.25Apr 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$126.00Apr 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$52.02Apr 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)$57.09Apr 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)$53.35Apr 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$58.20Apr 11, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$102.13Apr 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$145.24Apr 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$32.09Apr 10, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$261.63Apr 9, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12.00Apr 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$16.00Apr 9, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$17.16Apr 9, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $211.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.