0x71fd7bee4c9b9876850a3fa4cd5440e417e58789
0x71fd7bee4c9b9876850a3fa4cd5440e417e58789
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.12
Realised
$2.39
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
55 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
35 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
31 shares @ 77.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- ECUADOR
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)
28 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
27 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
24 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
20 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
18 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goals
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$9.00Jun 21, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$3.00Jun 21, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$1.99Jun 21, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador leading at halftime?$1.99Jun 21, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$2.00Jun 21, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$14.99Jun 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGonzalo Plata: 1+ assists$1.99Jun 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnner Valencia: 1+ assists$2.00Jun 20, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGonzalo Plata: 1+ goals$3.00Jun 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnner Valencia: 1+ goals$3.00Jun 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$15.00Jun 20, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$45.12Jun 20, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$42.85Jun 20, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$8.98Jun 20, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$2.98Jun 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$8.00Jun 20, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.99Jun 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$5.00Jun 20, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$1.99Jun 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$2.00Jun 20, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.