Glass-Arm
0x7209b5a3b03d5965b0a557c520953b429d30fa4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$25.66
Total PnL
$-27.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will 'Wood' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will 'Wood' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?$1.00Oct 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?$1.00Oct 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?$1.00Oct 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$1.00Oct 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Oct 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Oct 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.00Oct 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marques Brownlee's next video get less than 4.0 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marques Brownlee's next video get less than 4.0 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $280 on October 13?$1.00Oct 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $132,000 on October 15?$1.00Oct 11, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wood' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.00Oct 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wood' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.00Oct 11, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $269.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".