Improbable-Chasm
0x7210f804e3dde44037ef2a9d0e48b874effb7e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.42
Total PnL
$-15.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.12
$-0.88
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during Tele-Rallies?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$1.61Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 13, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rallies?$1.19Jun 12, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during Tele-Rallies?$1.01Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rallies?$1.01Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.07Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.03Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00Jun 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 4, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$11.46Jun 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$11.03Jun 4, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.15Jun 4, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.04Jun 4, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 4, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$11.36Jun 4, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.36Jun 4, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$13.70Jun 4, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.