Realistic-Jug
0x7231a52f9de4fda5218d0e63f30a3499a4535afe
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$137.64
Total PnL
$-120.41
Realised
$497.82
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?
92 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$92.00
$18.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?
44 shares @ 32.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$44.48
$30.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?
116 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.16
$0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?
9075 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?
1506 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-69.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 11?
562 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-114.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?
457 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-43.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?
389 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-123.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?
351 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?
190 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-51.45
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.933h ago
- REWARD$1.984h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.027h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.039h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.0110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?$0.0110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$65.4713h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$8.1213h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$50.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$40.0013h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$163.9013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$148.2513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$16.8213h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$217.9013h ago
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?$65.4513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$21.7613h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$17.5013h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $17.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
