0x7238e3e8bcc4e4ec0f15986dcd8bc3494ed8b114
0x7238e3e8bcc4e4ec0f15986dcd8bc3494ed8b114
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$9.72
Total PnL
$-538.01
Realised
$-4.30
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.72
$1.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
5350 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-53.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
5100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
3100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1760 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1208 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
546 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
221 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-37.50
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
150 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$44.27Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$61.69Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$61.72Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$67.22Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$3.63Jun 18, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?$4.66Jun 8, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$34.54Jun 8, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$10.24May 25, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.02May 25, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.02May 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$17.93May 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$10.24May 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$1.02May 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$43.82May 23, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$25.15May 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$38.74May 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$93.67May 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$21.60May 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$50.30May 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$17.83May 20, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.