Hopeful-Container
0x727e819c79ac4eb555518cccdfd424d2d4cf8b9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$48.97
Realised
$15.37
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$803.85
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$346.15
$-803.85
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
131 shares @ 90.8¢·now 86.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$112.85
$-6.09
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
116 shares @ 89.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$109.68
$5.75
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
90 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.48
$5.08
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
50 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$48.45
$-0.02
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
50 shares @ 91.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.38
$1.84
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 89.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.25
$0.40
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
70 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.60
$-1.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
40 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.66
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$6.50Jun 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$6.80Jun 14, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$9.00Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.52Jun 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.10Jun 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.50Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$19.80Jun 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.50Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$19.84Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$12.70Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$12.42Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$2.50Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.20Jun 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.20Jun 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.86Jun 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.32Jun 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.48Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $16.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.