Weak-Coupon
0x72992f0afc0c49ab94166b60499798fbdafe3fe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$503.23
Total PnL
$-313.99
Realised
$-11.61
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1412 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$195.52
$-41.01
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
908 shares @ 11.2¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$142.93
$41.29
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
605 shares @ 17.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.66
$11.82
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
616 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.13
$-0.92
- YES
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?
120 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
114 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
58 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
56 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.38Jun 24, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.68Jun 24, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.05Jun 24, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$26.31Jun 24, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$26.31Jun 24, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$25.84Jun 24, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$25.80Jun 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.26Jun 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.25Jun 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$50.06Jun 24, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$26.01Jun 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$13.36Jun 24, 10:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$183.41Jun 23, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.