Admirable-Licorice
0x72b387ddd21a441080560eeecf4fe962a3691c03
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-37.38
Realised
$-13.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 5?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Iraq?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
55 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Iraq?$5.00Jun 20, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?$5.07Jun 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?$5.05Jun 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?$5.05Jun 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?$5.00Jun 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?$5.00Jun 15, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$5.05May 21, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$5.05May 21, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$5.05May 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$5.00May 18, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$5.00May 17, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.05May 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.06May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMSS Juve Stabia vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5$5.05May 17, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$5.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 1. FC Köln?$5.05May 16, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5$5.05May 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSS Juve Stabia vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5$5.00May 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 1. FC Köln?$5.00May 16, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.