UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 20, 2026

Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?

Probability

3¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.3pp

24h Vol

$798.00

Liquidity

$9.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.4pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 13:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 543h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $9.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 543.0h

    LOW
  • 08:59Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 543h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.3pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventSurvivor 50 Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source

Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.

Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket