Intent-Equivalent
0x72b4b094cdab7322f285fad576473aa3a2197eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-983.44
Realised
$873.41
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8343 shares @ 53.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.1K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
37700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$735.15
$201.43
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
105740 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$370.09
$-358.88
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$174.00
$38.00
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7700 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$26.95
$-113.33
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8236 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.59
$-180.32
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.25
$-88.75
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-2.20
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $100.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.