Sleepy-Joke
0x72e84bb0ed49d54df8d776e028e508ebdb6c3664
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$69.50
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-16.73
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.58
$-2.42
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
85 shares @ 23.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.93
$-11.07
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
151 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$-1.90
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026?
3770 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
786 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
774 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
457 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$10.00Jul 23, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$14.47Jul 23, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1.79Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.96Jul 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.06Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$6.25Jul 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.07Jul 20, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$20.00Jul 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$10.00Jul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$18.40Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$33.51Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$52.25Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series England vs India: England vs India$5.22Jul 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$20.00Jul 19, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$24.88Jul 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$3.71Jul 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$4.15Jul 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$10.00Jul 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$5.00Jul 15, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $31.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.