Anguished-Contention
0x72eee3ceb23b3b29ff415dcb05dc6caa22c2a848
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.55
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-42.17
Win rate
70%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.45
$13.45
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
65 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.10
$-5.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
390 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.73
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?
350 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- YES
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?
314 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-219.88
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?
310 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-212.60
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
269 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?$11.75Aug 18, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?$22.55Aug 17, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMCasa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.5 AND Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5$22.74Aug 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?$29.99Aug 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?$0.72Aug 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?$11.87Aug 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?$10.75Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCasa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.5 AND Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5$10.00Aug 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?$10.00Aug 17, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMFC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 1.5 AND FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16?$27.59Aug 17, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5 AND New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5$17.95Aug 17, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score AND New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score$78.56Aug 17, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?$0.00Aug 16, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?$0.00Aug 16, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMFC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5$29.99Aug 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score AND New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score$10.00Aug 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score AND New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score$12.73Aug 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5$16.49Aug 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?$10.71Aug 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?$10.15Aug 16, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
66 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.