Gracious-Stacking
0x7300833941f579802d58791eb1d0152c1b17e52c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-331.6K
Realised
$10.6K
Win rate
69%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
4117 shares @ 48.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.1K
$1.1K
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
4769 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.1K
$23.84
- DRAPER
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)
3400 shares @ 53.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.7K
$-118.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?
3406 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$35.77
$-43.75
- QATAR
Spread: Canada (-3.5)
19626 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- PAULA BADOSA
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa
16844 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.7K
- UNDER
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5
16006 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.3K
- RAPHAEL COLLIGNON
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon
13302 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- UNDER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
13122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$31.02Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$1.86Jul 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29?$18.36Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29?$128.74Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 29?$0.73Jul 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner$1.00Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?$11.87Jul 28, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$30.10Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$1.31Jul 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$2.16Jul 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 29?$3.00Jul 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?$85.52Jul 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?$36.92Jul 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$0.54Jul 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$1.80Jul 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$2.52Jul 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?$0.90Jul 28, 10:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$70.62Jul 28, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
39 closed markets, 69% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.