Polished-Aide
0x73160062f14898a31f1836c191f62b54ad164d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$37.43
Total PnL
$-68.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
37 shares @ 26.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$37.43
$27.43
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
103 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
68 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.83
- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
42 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$5.13May 1, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.30Apr 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers $2.04Apr 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$52.18Apr 29, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$5.00Apr 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$43.00Mar 24, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$119.05Mar 24, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Mar 23, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$3.90Mar 3, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$71.48Mar 3, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$6.00Mar 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$20.00Mar 3, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$4.25Mar 3, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.