Urban-Smolt
0x7322fdb115654c058c22062aee2c784359edbcce
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-9.34
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
319 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$300.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
213 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.66
$14.25
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
294 shares @ 87.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$183.49
$-71.93
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
141 shares @ 70.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.02
$37.02
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
136 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.49
$19.49
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
112 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$104.56
$10.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
121 shares @ 82.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
173 shares @ 58.6¢·now 42.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$73.70
$-27.37
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
80 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.93
$-2.19
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
87 shares @ 77.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$68.10
$0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$300.006h ago
- TRADEBUYDesmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5$10.137h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic $5.117h ago
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?$14.937h ago
- REDEEMThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$36.147h ago
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$304.967h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?$10.1017h ago
- TRADEBUYThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$30.151d ago
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $16.131d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.151d ago
- TRADEBUYTyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5$10.141d ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$30.121d ago
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$30.251d ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$117.411d ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$78.351d ago
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$78.711d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$12.122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$251.352d ago
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$88.892d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 30?$169.992d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $42.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".