False-Legal
0x733bac04e25855365cdb3659845d9d1f066c02c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$210.38
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
207 shares @ 57.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.29
$87.29
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$-4.91
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
50075 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
526 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
478 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
444 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2025$0.00
$-284.36
- NO
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
365 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
277 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
247 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$22.00Mar 7, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$22.73Jan 29, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$8.00Jan 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?$40.00Jan 1, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$21.67Jan 1, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$25.00Jan 1, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$21.00Dec 29, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$22.47Dec 29, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$8.98Dec 25, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$20.00Dec 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 25?$20.00Dec 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Dec 25, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$100.00Dec 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$100.00Dec 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$20.00Dec 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $50.00Dec 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$220.00Dec 25, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$15.78Dec 24, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$40.00Dec 24, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?$20.00Dec 24, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $129.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.