Loyal-Assembly
0x735d76978f48c9f05edd8326bf33d4a86b3378cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-578.56
Realised
$-54.21
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.10
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?
2270 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1487 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.99
- YES
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
900 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 18, 2026?
744 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.01Jul 6, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$4.63Jun 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$0.54Jun 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$0.68Jun 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$0.66Jun 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$0.00Jun 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$28.40Jun 22, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.14Jun 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.14Jun 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.10Jun 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.08Jun 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.15Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.09Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO article 5 before 2027?$15.00May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$16.00May 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?$4.00May 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.63May 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.86May 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.45May 13, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.