Fortunate-Bronco
0x738f78947de2a780ad7c8c48566f88555d83fc34
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.26
Total PnL
$-49.96
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.28
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 19?
5395 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?
1121 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.10 on February 9?
1117 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 20?
1113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1097 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?
1095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?
1095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?$2.14Jun 7, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.20Jun 2, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.22Jun 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.27Jun 2, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?$2.12May 29, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.21May 21, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$2.12May 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?$2.14May 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.20May 6, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.13May 4, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.31May 4, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$2.18May 2, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 22?$2.13Apr 22, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.30Apr 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 13?$2.17Apr 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.10Apr 6, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?$2.19Apr 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?$0.02Mar 27, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?$0.01Mar 27, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?$2.22Mar 27, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $476.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.