Imaginative-Lunchmeat
0x7391f0612939acade03feb5a9b8c17d88fb3a352
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$8.07
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1139 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
1131 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-157.67
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
1113 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-98.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
1054 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
677 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
641 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.27
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
489 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
447 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-21.24
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$103.08Jul 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?$1.00Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?$4.17Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?$7.33Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?$7.21Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$7.55Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$87.61Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$25.23Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$49.99Jul 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$125.48Jul 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.69Jul 1, 16:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$77.09Jun 25, 13:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $36.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.