Formal-Lute
0x739c12e142bab0db71389e6ac2e5fa94dd19a146
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$391.69
Total PnL
$-52.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$124.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 76.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$74.49
$-4.51
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$40.50
$3.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 64.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.33
$-10.67
- NO
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$27.80
$3.80
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
87 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.64
$-7.42
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
50 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$23.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$16.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.19
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$24.00Jun 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.25Jun 2, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$66.86Jun 2, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$59.14Jun 2, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$34.90Jun 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$35.48Jun 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.52Jun 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.65Jun 2, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$15.25Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$3.17Jun 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.05Jun 2, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$11.61Jun 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$153.32Jun 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?$24.00Jun 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $24.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".