Arid-Cinema
0x73d225c851df25d73b14846a370bdeef9434f9b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$28.1K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-339.09
Win rate
65%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
2000 shares @ 85.5¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-70.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2397 shares @ 73.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-299.61
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$330.00
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$966.00
$6.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?
886 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$846.17
$93.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
798 shares @ 68.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$722.01
$179.51
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
800 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$676.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
800 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$644.01
$-20.00
- NO
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
706 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$642.06
$49.39
- NO
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
641 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$538.45
$-25.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$100.00Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?$168.40Jun 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$133.57Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$14.46Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$18.80Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$296.00Jun 13, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$254.99Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?$1.00Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?$15.00Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$528.00Jun 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$5.69Jun 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$33.77Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$114.00Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$114.00Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$23.23Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$5.93Jun 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?$29.54Jun 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$5.00Jun 13, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$8.00Jun 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$240.00Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $95.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.