Worried-Meme
0x73e9793ab3758b665fbe8c35851e29bf721557f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-908.93
Realised
$343.25
Win rate
7%
177 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?
8384 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 2?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.97
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $129 Week of June 29 2026?
3250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?
3250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?
3250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- OTTO VIRTANEN
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen
3250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
2167 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 Week of June 29 2026?
2167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 1?
2150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Aug 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.15Aug 3, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.45Aug 3, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.45Aug 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.45Aug 3, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?$4.94Aug 3, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 3?$7.07Aug 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 2?$0.92Aug 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2?$8.95Aug 2, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2?$0.05Aug 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 2?$0.84Aug 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 2?$14.13Aug 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.55Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$1.45Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$1.46Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2?$0.01Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$1.35Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 2?$0.01Aug 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 2?$1.44Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 2?$0.02Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 177 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
177 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 177 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.