Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 2459h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $19.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.