Sardonic-Manatee
0x7404af304459a5695980119bbec6efd27a6dc062
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$199.18
Total PnL
$-2.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?
59 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$56.02
$-0.44
- NO
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
51 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.83
$-0.20
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
52 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.43
$-0.52
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
46 shares @ 99.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.91
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?$13.97Jun 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?$13.78Jun 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?$28.71Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$31.98Jun 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$20.27May 31, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$0.40May 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$9.02May 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$14.71May 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$47.52May 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$25.90May 28, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$12.58May 26, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$5.39May 26, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$43.88May 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$39.47May 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$32.09May 22, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$7.91May 22, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$12.98May 22, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$44.62May 20, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$45.03May 19, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$1.10May 19, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $174.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.