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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2026

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Probability

95¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$8.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 7.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:01Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.6pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.4pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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