Idealistic-Magnet
0x740bbabc42c60e0f3231d7a6f112200d0242647a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$305.47
Total PnL
$-26.9K
Realised
$-222.41
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 77.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.39
$11.39
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
133 shares @ 69.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$88.44
$-4.32
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
131 shares @ 76.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.02
$-67.98
- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
138 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.98
$-5.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
116 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.18
$-7.82
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
67 shares @ 32.6¢·now 19.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.06
$-8.94
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
11 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.99
$0.05
- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
19410 shares @ 80.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $530.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.