Thunderous-Menu
0x74102b1177f4be8ce2b3a08ad13f24c757eb5296
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$67.36
Total PnL
$-246.85
Realised
$-50.73
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
35 shares @ 25.3¢·now 62.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.95
$13.10
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$0.30
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$1.05
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
5 shares @ 86.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.00
$0.67
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.91
$0.31
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
527 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.48
$-168.74
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.98
$2.67
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.77
$0.07
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
15 shares @ 19.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$-0.72
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.01Jun 7, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.01Jun 7, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.01Jun 6, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.95Jun 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$0.65Jun 6, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.32Jun 6, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.35Jun 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.35Jun 6, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.04Jun 6, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$3.06Jun 6, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS fertility rate up in Q1 2026?$4.90Jun 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.30Jun 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$4.33Jun 3, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?$0.01May 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.30May 22, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $18.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.