Tedious-Downfall
0x74369417c44c78af4768805212b064e42dbfe39b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$126.40
Total PnL
$-82.17
Realised
$-20.83
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$40.00
$30.80
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$38.40
$7.21
- YES
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
25 shares @ 12.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$25.00
$21.80
- NO
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$20.00
$6.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 61.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$1.15
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
125 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?
40 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
40 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.37
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
25 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$31.00May 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.19May 18, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 16, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$33.00May 16, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$59.00May 16, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$62.00May 16, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$25.00May 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.20May 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$23.75May 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$34.52May 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$23.25May 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$30.36May 9, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.52May 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.69May 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.98May 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$5.04May 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$0.56May 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$9.35May 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$3.20May 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$6.20May 9, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.