Imperturbable-Equinox
0x743d681bb4bba8743cdfc21aa5100fc79c69f77e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$16.2K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$136.02
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?
4560 shares @ 84.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$497.36
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1773 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.7K
$8.45
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
1054 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$12.33
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July?
1032 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.0K
$13.45
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
1522 shares @ 70.8¢·now 58.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$886.51
$-190.64
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
800 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$794.80
$59.10
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
772 shares @ 90.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$753.61
$57.47
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
718 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$711.78
$18.73
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
566 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$564.82
$117.49
- NO
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
609 shares @ 84.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$547.73
$35.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$90.52Jul 29, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on July 28?$30.16Jul 28, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 28?$245.18Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?$179.48Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get at least 28 million views on day 3?$59.70Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?$196.16Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?$179.31Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$97.62Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$125.32Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 27 2026?$62.00Jul 28, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?$50.50Jul 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on July 28?$28.41Jul 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$20.45Jul 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 28?$19.19Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 28?$214.35Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of July 27 2026?$94.32Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 27 2026?$93.36Jul 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$219.48Jul 28, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 27 2026?$279.78Jul 28, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$90.28Jul 28, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $168.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.