Quarterly-Dancer
0x745d4ad589745ed4de8a5c534af87a0e661a95fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$133.29
Total PnL
$-187.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.44
$12.44
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
27 shares @ 56.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.42
$4.42
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
18 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.43
$2.05
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$2.70
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.64
$4.64
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
32 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.03
$0.16
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on December 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
120 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$2.87Jun 3, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$25.70Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.00May 5, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$5.13May 5, 09:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9.37May 4, 13:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$14.29May 1, 20:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".