Frail-Congregation
0x747ff68dae1940e3a773ae0d0a76cec71e00ad68
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$117.16
Total PnL
$-4.79
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$15.22
$0.23
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 9?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$15.00
$10.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp May 9, 2026$14.85
$9.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.28
$5.28
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 9?
74 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.82
$4.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?
243 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.76
$5.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 9?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$6.59
$1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on May 9?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.18
$0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 9?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.8¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 9?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 9?$0.1726s ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$2.5658m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$0.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$0.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$0.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$0.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$0.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?$2.301h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.061h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?$0.061h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?$1.592h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?$3.412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?$0.752h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 26s ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
