Firm-Fortress
0x7494b8b78cdf56250e2af49f1f8ad33bec40e2a3
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$564.21
Total PnL
$-120.75
Realised
$-2.21
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1064 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.95
$-27.02
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
568 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.72
$-8.52
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
514 shares @ 13.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.27
$-5.82
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.68
$1.67
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
36 shares @ 39.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.27
$11.09
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 37.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
64 shares @ 21.5¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.89
$-1.82
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
43 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.74
$-0.21
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
75 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$2.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.004m ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$8.953h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.003h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $9.406h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.666h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$30.006h ago
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$24.626h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$59.122d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$14.613d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$25.823d ago
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$45.473d ago
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$47.733d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$52.273d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $31.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 28d ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
