Ordinary-Likeness
0x749c3e3780aca6cc865d90697ec45a912901b6d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$49.98
Total PnL
$-643.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
50 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.48
$0.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.50
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2?
4800 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-57.60
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
1800 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-432.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
270 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
140 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?
48 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?
38 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.78
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
36 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-21.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.68May 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$48.85May 13, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$70.00May 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$69.09Apr 16, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$12.60Mar 27, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$40.00Mar 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$19.54Mar 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$19.52Mar 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$48.30Feb 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Feb 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$38.00Jan 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$5.60Jan 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$16.00Jan 8, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$16.20Jan 6, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$30.00Jan 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 2?$0.14Dec 2, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 2?$0.30Dec 2, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 2?$17.50Dec 2, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 2?$0.06Dec 2, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $123.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.