Ancient-Payoff
0x74bac1740bd8fd900e7101dc14bc1026cea3a3b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$97.57
Total PnL
$-9.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
21 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$21.20
$0.21
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
15 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$15.26
$0.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.07
$0.08
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
14 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.02Apr 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.01Apr 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Apr 3, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Apr 3, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 3, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$10.00Apr 3, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$15.00Apr 3, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$11.00Apr 3, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$10.00Apr 3, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.12Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.87Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$11.13Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23?$11.21Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?$11.26Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$11.29Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?$11.41Apr 3, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23?$11.00Mar 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?$11.00Mar 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?$11.00Mar 20, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.