Grave-Doughnut
0x74c3e4005cda7a933396cb4269cbed3844384665
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 17?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
50 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$75.47Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$75.40May 30, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$75.38May 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$75.30May 26, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$75.28May 22, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$75.21May 22, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$75.27May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$75.19May 14, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$75.08May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$75.01May 12, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$75.08May 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$75.01May 9, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$74.97May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$74.90May 5, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$74.99May 5, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$74.92Apr 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.48Apr 27, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$76.40Apr 27, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$76.33Apr 22, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$76.33Apr 22, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $59.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".