Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Probability
18¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$3.1K
Liquidity
$31.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 236.3h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 18¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @elonmuskSocial media postx.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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