Likely-Soybean
0x74e1b475654dcb88813c5a970b101941a55d6f24
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.68
Total PnL
$-128.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 3.5
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.56
$-0.44
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
79 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.12
$-18.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
799 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.97
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.93
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
53 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRui Hachimura: Points O/U 3.5$2.063h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$22.1832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$19.9934d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$19.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.1472d ago
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$29.1872d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$9.98111d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$30.99111d ago
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$9.99115d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$5.00115d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.96118d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00121d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.97122d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 122d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
