Extra-Small-Realization
0x74f831dd79f3c4dfc59ab3a8a582b2e791fe4974
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-107.56
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
15238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
5139 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-280.62
- 76ERS
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
893 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-129.68
- YES
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
375 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
340 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
321 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-90.17
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Mavericks
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
218 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.63Jan 24, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$0.24Jan 24, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$0.43Jan 24, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jan 24, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.41Jan 24, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.83Jan 24, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$6.92Jan 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.12Jan 23, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.79Jan 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsa Golden Hurricane vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)$10.88Jan 23, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$9.47Jan 23, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.00Jan 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Jan 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Jan 23, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$14.42Jan 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$11.47Jan 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$11.46Jan 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs$3.63Jan 23, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green$0.20Jan 23, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".