Stimulating-Macaroon
0x74fcf01083ba469909e5af254bf2d75664bc492c
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-92.04
Realised
$0.71
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
119 shares @ 83.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.04
$-1.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.05
$3.06
- NO
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$22.50
$2.37
- NO
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.73
$1.68
- NO
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$21.57
$1.46
- YES
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$20.89
$0.78
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?
25 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.85
$0.74
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.72
$0.60
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$20.55
$0.56
- NO
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.51
$0.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?$10.11Jun 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?$10.09Jun 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$18.87Jun 3, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?$10.09Jun 3, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$6.56Jun 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$0.02Jun 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?$4.67Jun 3, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$3.07Jun 2, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?$10.11Jun 2, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?$10.09Jun 2, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?$16.02Jun 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$1.13Jun 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?$10.09Jun 2, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?$10.09Jun 2, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$22.34Jun 2, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?$10.09Jun 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?$10.09Jun 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$19.00Jun 2, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".