0x750402da1f34544982a65ef8800053827db23f21
0x750402da1f34544982a65ef8800053827db23f21
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.90
Total PnL
$-3.30
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.94
$-0.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JESSICA PEGULA
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06Aug 6, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.06Aug 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Aug 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Aug 6, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.01Aug 6, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?$0.98Aug 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.02Aug 5, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?$1.04Aug 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.01Aug 5, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala$1.02Aug 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$1.24Aug 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.94Aug 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$1.12Aug 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.02Aug 3, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$1.03Aug 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$1.04Aug 3, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?$2.20Jul 31, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.97Jul 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?$2.34Jul 30, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.