Limp-Collateral
0x750d5d6a820f58ace3123a165122170be44dc7f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.52
Total PnL
$-551.09
Realised
$13.60
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 75.1¢·now 76.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.80
$0.05
- YES
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
1120 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.68
$-43.12
- YES
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-4.35
- YES
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.02
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.02
$-0.14
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$-0.15
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KJul 20, 01:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.17Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KJul 19, 22:39 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup: Group of Champion$385.00Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?$224.07Jul 19, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$327.20Jul 19, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.6KJul 18, 22:51 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup: Group of Champion$14.89Jul 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$124.56Jul 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.2KJul 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$32.50Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$195.00Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$43.17Jul 18, 22:06 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup: 2nd Place Finish$39.00Jul 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.99Jul 18, 21:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.23Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$168.00Jul 17, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $256.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.