Misguided-Share
0x75110f5d0599d873dc7a201d5ae1eb4340ce5cc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$11.59
Total PnL
$-6.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.17
$0.00
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.47
$0.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.25
$0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in April?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?
4 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.22Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$3.88Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.22Jul 11, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.86Jul 11, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.86Jul 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.54Jul 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.52Jul 5, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?$1.16Jun 30, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?$1.61Jun 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?$1.61Jun 29, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?$1.16Jun 29, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.27Jun 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.16Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.24Jun 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.16Jun 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$2.17Jun 1, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.38May 9, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $244 in April?$1.24Apr 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.47Apr 29, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.24Apr 15, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.