Bubbly-Privacy-Neighborhood
0x75142cd28a06e7d27ea745f5ea400f9ee05482d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$534.01
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
197 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$129.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$59.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
94 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$59.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
253 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.87
$-0.13
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$24.50
$-0.50
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$24.11
$-0.89
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?
192 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$24.04
$-0.96
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$23.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
351 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.06
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$60.65Jun 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.58Jun 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.20Jun 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.57Jun 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$60.61Jun 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?$25.64Jun 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo?$25.69Jun 23, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?$10.27Jun 23, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?$20.55Jun 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?$25.65Jun 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?$15.44Jun 23, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$15.34Jun 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$70.71Jun 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$25.56Jun 23, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?$15.39Jun 23, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?$15.38Jun 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$60.31Jun 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$20.53Jun 23, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$221.93Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$5.14Jun 23, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.