Adventurous-Tactics
0x751d2f07c1c61449049d828e387e273ee4396a14
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-619.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
638 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-529.00
- FRANCE
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
50 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.13
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8?
25 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.75
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11?
15 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 5?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$44.38Jul 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 13?$32.00Jul 13, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on July 13?$5.00Jul 13, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on July 13?$5.00Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on July 13?$3.00Jul 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 13?$31.69Jul 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on July 13?$4.95Jul 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on July 13?$2.97Jul 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on July 13?$4.95Jul 13, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$45.24Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$38.30Jul 11, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$38.39Jul 10, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$32.12Jul 10, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$31.40Jul 9, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$27.11Jul 8, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$27.17Jul 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$25.06Jul 7, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$25.00Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$23.06Jul 6, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$23.60Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $17.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.