Thin-Sermon
0x7545496344a279853f4dc3246a2a3347c74e1ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$149.73
Total PnL
$-312.90
Realised
$-9.69
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$99.28
$-0.72
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$26.05
$-3.95
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
80 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$24.40
$-1.20
- HOOKER
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?
200 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.68
- TATSURO TAIRA
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
183 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
101 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
100 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.90
- WALDO CORTES-ACOSTA
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
95 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- FIZIEV
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
79 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$30.73May 29, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$100.93May 29, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$25.60May 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$8.90May 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$120.05May 10, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$3.57May 10, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$50.79May 10, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$11.00May 10, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$35.48May 10, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$9.00May 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$20.46May 10, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$132.16May 10, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$2.10May 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$1.65May 10, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$40.93May 10, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$40.70May 10, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$20.37May 10, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$49.25May 10, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)$30.00Mar 15, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$33.00Mar 15, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".